Charizard 1st Edition Holofoil Advent of Arceus #017

Rarity: Unrecorded
Released: 2009
Total graded: 1,702

Check price on eBay Check price on TCGplayer

56/100

Good Bet

0254572

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

$602
Expected Value
9.5×
Profit Multiple
41%
Odds of Profit

How the score is calculated

Profit Multiple →
Odds of Profit	1×	1.5×	2×	3×	5×	8×	12×	20×
100%	55	61	65	72	79	86	92	100
90%	50	56	60	66	74	81	87	95
75%	41	47	52	58	65	72	79	86
60%	33	39	43	50	57	64	70	78
50%	28	34	38	44	52	59	65	73
35%	19	25	30	36	43	50	57	64
20%	11	17	21	28	35	42	48	56
10%	6	12	16	22	30	37	43	51

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

What it cannot know

Grading outcomes are decided solely by the company you send to, not by this model. We cannot guarantee a result: condition is specific to your copy, and we have never seen it. Scores are projected from publicly available population and sales data, and the thresholds between the bands are our own judgement rather than an industry standard.

Grade vs. Raw

Sell it raw

100% chance

$64

Grade it, then sell

Blended average

$602

41%: you make money
6%: you break even
50%: you lose money
3%: no sales data

Grade population	# of graded	Est. sale price	Profit or loss
PSA 10 41%	698	$1,569	+$1,298
PSA 9 33%	554	$102	−$22
PSA 8 13%	217	$113	−$12
PSA 7 6%	101	$120	Break-Even
PSA 6 4%	60	$11	−$104
PSA 5 2%	29	—	—
PSA 4 1%	11	$12	−$103
PSA 3 1%	10	—	—
PSA 2 0%	5	—	—
PSA 1 1%	10	—	—

Grade vs. Raw

Estimated Cost

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