Ponyta 1st Edition Advent of Arceus #018

Rarity: Unrecorded
Released: 2009
Total graded: 38

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78/100

Exceptional

0254572

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

$62
Expected Value
25×
Profit Multiple
61%
Odds of Profit

How the score is calculated

Profit Multiple →
Odds of Profit	1×	1.5×	2×	3×	5×	8×	12×	20×
100%	55	61	65	72	79	86	92	100
90%	50	56	60	66	74	81	87	95
75%	41	47	52	58	65	72	79	86
60%	33	39	43	50	57	64	70	78
50%	28	34	38	44	52	59	65	73
35%	19	25	30	36	43	50	57	64
20%	11	17	21	28	35	42	48	56
10%	6	12	16	22	30	37	43	51

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

What it cannot know

Grading outcomes are decided solely by the company you send to, not by this model. We cannot guarantee a result: condition is specific to your copy, and we have never seen it. Scores are projected from publicly available population and sales data, and the thresholds between the bands are our own judgement rather than an industry standard.

Grade vs. Raw

Sell it raw

$2.42

Grade it, then sell

$62

61%: you make money
26%: you lose money
13%: no sales data

Grade population	# of graded	Est. sale price	Profit or loss
PSA 10 61%	23	$175	+$105
PSA 9 26%	10	$6.50	−$47
PSA 8 11%	4	—	—
PSA 7 3%	1	—	—

Grade vs. Raw

Estimated Cost

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