Lugia Secret Aquapolis #149

Rarity: Rare
Released: 2003
Total graded: 3,410

Check price on eBay Check price on TCGplayer

62/100

Good Bet

0254572

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

$13,574
Expected Value
3.5×
Profit Multiple
78%
Odds of Profit

How the score is calculated

Profit Multiple →
Odds of Profit	1×	1.5×	2×	3×	5×	8×	12×	20×
100%	55	61	65	72	79	86	92	100
90%	50	56	60	66	74	81	87	95
75%	41	47	52	58	65	72	79	86
60%	33	39	43	50	57	64	70	78
50%	28	34	38	44	52	59	65	73
35%	19	25	30	36	43	50	57	64
20%	11	17	21	28	35	42	48	56
10%	6	12	16	22	30	37	43	51

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

What it cannot know

Grading outcomes are decided solely by the company you send to, not by this model. We cannot guarantee a result: condition is specific to your copy, and we have never seen it. Scores are projected from publicly available population and sales data, and the thresholds between the bands are our own judgement rather than an industry standard.

Grade vs. Raw

Sell it raw

100% chance

$3,852

Grade it, then sell

Blended average

$13,574

78%: you make money
22%: you lose money

Grade population	# of graded	Est. sale price	Profit or loss
PSA 10 4%	138	$132,000	+$114,898
PSA 9 16%	531	$23,050	+$16,843
PSA 8 13%	449	$16,775	+$11,195
PSA 7 12%	398	$9,485	+$4,634
PSA 6 13%	441	$6,733	+$2,158
PSA 5 11%	381	$5,675	+$1,205
PSA 4 8%	270	$4,475	+$125
PSA 3 7%	247	$4,021	−$284
PSA 2 5%	169	$3,000	−$1,202
PSA 1 9%	308	$2,718	−$1,457

Grade vs. Raw

Estimated Cost

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