Umbreon Aquapolis #41

Rarity: Rare
Released: 2003
Total graded: 814

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71/100

Good Bet

0254572

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

$536
Expected Value
4.3×
Profit Multiple
90%
Odds of Profit

How the score is calculated

Profit Multiple →
Odds of Profit	1×	1.5×	2×	3×	5×	8×	12×	20×
100%	55	61	65	72	79	86	92	100
90%	50	56	60	66	74	81	87	95
75%	41	47	52	58	65	72	79	86
60%	33	39	43	50	57	64	70	78
50%	28	34	38	44	52	59	65	73
35%	19	25	30	36	43	50	57	64
20%	11	17	21	28	35	42	48	56
10%	6	12	16	22	30	37	43	51

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

What it cannot know

Grading outcomes are decided solely by the company you send to, not by this model. We cannot guarantee a result: condition is specific to your copy, and we have never seen it. Scores are projected from publicly available population and sales data, and the thresholds between the bands are our own judgement rather than an industry standard.

Grade vs. Raw

Sell it raw

100% chance

$125

Grade it, then sell

Blended average

$536

84%: you make money
6%: you break even
10%: you lose money

Grade population	# of graded	Est. sale price	Profit or loss
PSA 10 18%	146	$1,900	+$1,534
PSA 9 29%	235	$525	+$297
PSA 8 25%	197	$415	+$198
PSA 7 12%	97	$250	+$50
PSA 6 6%	50	$196	Break-Even
PSA 5 5%	40	$60	−$121
PSA 4 1%	10	$87	−$97
PSA 3 2%	19	$99	−$86
PSA 1 1%	9	$140	−$49

Grade vs. Raw

Estimated Cost

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