Charizard Holo Arceus #1

Rarity: Holo Rare
Released: 2009
Total graded: 2,289

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84/100

Exceptional

0254572

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

$749
Expected Value
16×
Profit Multiple
78%
Odds of Profit

How the score is calculated

Profit Multiple →
Odds of Profit	1×	1.5×	2×	3×	5×	8×	12×	20×
100%	55	61	65	72	79	86	92	100
90%	50	56	60	66	74	81	87	95
75%	41	47	52	58	65	72	79	86
60%	33	39	43	50	57	64	70	78
50%	28	34	38	44	52	59	65	73
35%	19	25	30	36	43	50	57	64
20%	11	17	21	28	35	42	48	56
10%	6	12	16	22	30	37	43	51

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

What it cannot know

Grading outcomes are decided solely by the company you send to, not by this model. We cannot guarantee a result: condition is specific to your copy, and we have never seen it. Scores are projected from publicly available population and sales data, and the thresholds between the bands are our own judgement rather than an industry standard.

Grade vs. Raw

Sell it raw

100% chance

$48

Grade it, then sell

Blended average

$749

58%: you make money
20%: you break even
22%: you lose money

Grade population	# of graded	Est. sale price	Profit or loss
PSA 10 2%	51	$25,000	+$22,402
PSA 9 25%	555	$885	+$699
PSA 8 30%	671	$227	+$106
PSA 7 20%	449	$110	Break-Even
PSA 6 13%	291	$92	−$15
PSA 5 6%	125	$56	−$47
PSA 4 2%	52	$47	−$55
PSA 3 1%	19	$26	−$74
PSA 2 1%	18	$25	−$75
PSA 1 1%	33	$125	+$15

Grade vs. Raw

Estimated Cost

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