Charizard V Brilliant Stars #154

Rarity: Ultra Rare
Released: 2022
Total graded: 32,957

Check price on eBay Check price on TCGplayer

39/100

Thin Margin

0254572

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

$439
Expected Value
2.2×
Profit Multiple
50%
Odds of Profit

How the score is calculated

Profit Multiple →
Odds of Profit	1×	1.5×	2×	3×	5×	8×	12×	20×
100%	55	61	65	72	79	86	92	100
90%	50	56	60	66	74	81	87	95
75%	41	47	52	58	65	72	79	86
60%	33	39	43	50	57	64	70	78
50%	28	34	38	44	52	59	65	73
35%	19	25	30	36	43	50	57	64
20%	11	17	21	28	35	42	48	56
10%	6	12	16	22	30	37	43	51

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

What it cannot know

Grading outcomes are decided solely by the company you send to, not by this model. We cannot guarantee a result: condition is specific to your copy, and we have never seen it. Scores are projected from publicly available population and sales data, and the thresholds between the bands are our own judgement rather than an industry standard.

Grade vs. Raw

Sell it raw

100% chance

$199

Grade it, then sell

Blended average

$439

50%: you make money
50%: you lose money

Grade population	# of graded	Est. sale price	Profit or loss
PSA 10 50%	16,381	$834	+$501
PSA 9 38%	12,649	$263	−$13
PSA 8 8%	2,676	$229	−$43
PSA 7 2%	565	$248	−$26
PSA 6 1%	346	$252	−$22
PSA 5 0%	138	$100	−$159
PSA 4 0%	68	$89	−$169
PSA 3 0%	25	$173	−$94
PSA 1 0%	30	$178	−$89

Grade vs. Raw

Estimated Cost

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