M Charizard EX Secret Flashfire #107

Rarity: Secret Rare
Released: 2014
Total graded: 1,710

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73/100

Exceptional

0254572

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

$627
Expected Value
7.7×
Profit Multiple
78%
Odds of Profit

How the score is calculated

Profit Multiple →
Odds of Profit	1×	1.5×	2×	3×	5×	8×	12×	20×
100%	55	61	65	72	79	86	92	100
90%	50	56	60	66	74	81	87	95
75%	41	47	52	58	65	72	79	86
60%	33	39	43	50	57	64	70	78
50%	28	34	38	44	52	59	65	73
35%	19	25	30	36	43	50	57	64
20%	11	17	21	28	35	42	48	56
10%	6	12	16	22	30	37	43	51

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

What it cannot know

Grading outcomes are decided solely by the company you send to, not by this model. We cannot guarantee a result: condition is specific to your copy, and we have never seen it. Scores are projected from publicly available population and sales data, and the thresholds between the bands are our own judgement rather than an industry standard.

Grade vs. Raw

Sell it raw

100% chance

$82

Grade it, then sell

Blended average

$627

52%: you make money
26%: you break even
22%: you lose money

Grade population	# of graded	Est. sale price	Profit or loss
PSA 10 5%	79	$11,000	+$9,768
PSA 9 27%	458	$473	+$294
PSA 8 22%	376	$153	Break-Even
PSA 7 20%	330	$200	+$48
PSA 6 12%	209	$129	−$16
PSA 5 6%	98	$103	−$40
PSA 4 2%	35	$46	−$91
PSA 3 1%	22	$80	−$60
PSA 2 1%	12	$65	−$73
PSA 1 3%	54	$155	Break-Even

Grade vs. Raw

Estimated Cost

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