Volo Lost Origin #196
- Rarity
- Ultra Rare
- Released
- 2022
- Total graded
- 311
0254572
- Sell Raw
- Thin Margin
- Good Bet
- Exceptional
−$16
Expected Value—
Profit Multiple45%
Odds of Profit
How the score is calculated
×| Odds of Profit |
1× | 1.5× | 2× | 3× | 5× | 8× | 12× | 20× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 55 | 61 | 65 | 72 | 79 | 86 | 92 | 100 |
| 90% | 50 | 56 | 60 | 66 | 74 | 81 | 87 | 95 |
| 75% | 41 | 47 | 52 | 58 | 65 | 72 | 79 | 86 |
| 60% | 33 | 39 | 43 | 50 | 57 | 64 | 70 | 78 |
| 50% | 28 | 34 | 38 | 44 | 52 | 59 | 65 | 73 |
| 35% | 19 | 25 | 30 | 36 | 43 | 50 | 57 | 64 |
| 20% | 11 | 17 | 21 | 28 | 35 | 42 | 48 | 56 |
| 10% | 6 | 12 | 16 | 22 | 30 | 37 | 43 | 51 |
- Sell Raw
- Thin Margin
- Good Bet
- Exceptional
What it cannot know
Grading outcomes are decided solely by the company you send to, not by this model. We cannot guarantee a result: condition is specific to your copy, and we have never seen it. Scores are projected from publicly available population and sales data, and the thresholds between the bands are our own judgement rather than an industry standard.
Grade vs. Raw
Sell it raw
100% chance
$3.12
Grade it, then sell
Blended average
−$16
- 45%
- you break even
- 55%
- you lose money
| Grade population | # of graded | Est. sale price | Profit or loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 140 | $60 | Break-Even |
| PSA 9 | 125 | $21 | −$34 |
| PSA 8 | 38 | $14 | −$41 |
| PSA 7 | 5 | $12 | −$42 |
