Arceus Movie Commemoration Random Pack #022

Rarity: Unrecorded
Released: 2009
Total graded: 753

Check price on eBay Check price on TCGplayer

80/100

Exceptional

0254572

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

$409
Expected Value
11×
Profit Multiple
80%
Odds of Profit

How the score is calculated

Profit Multiple →
Odds of Profit	1×	1.5×	2×	3×	5×	8×	12×	20×
100%	55	61	65	72	79	86	92	100
90%	50	56	60	66	74	81	87	95
75%	41	47	52	58	65	72	79	86
60%	33	39	43	50	57	64	70	78
50%	28	34	38	44	52	59	65	73
35%	19	25	30	36	43	50	57	64
20%	11	17	21	28	35	42	48	56
10%	6	12	16	22	30	37	43	51

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

What it cannot know

Grading outcomes are decided solely by the company you send to, not by this model. We cannot guarantee a result: condition is specific to your copy, and we have never seen it. Scores are projected from publicly available population and sales data, and the thresholds between the bands are our own judgement rather than an industry standard.

Grade vs. Raw

Sell it raw

100% chance

$37

Grade it, then sell

Blended average

$409

80%: you make money
10%: you break even
9%: you lose money
1%: no sales data

Grade population	# of graded	Est. sale price	Profit or loss
PSA 10 45%	337	$897	+$720
PSA 9 36%	267	$250	+$138
PSA 8 10%	73	$91	Break-Even
PSA 7 6%	42	$80	−$15
PSA 6 3%	20	$56	−$36
PSA 5 1%	7	$12	−$76
PSA 4 0%	3	—	—
PSA 3 0%	1	—	—
PSA 2 0%	1	—	—

Grade vs. Raw

Estimated Cost

Related cards