Pikachu Nintendo Black Star Promo #012

Rarity: Common
Released: 2003
Total graded: 4,353

Check price on eBay Check price on TCGplayer

70/100

Good Bet

0254572

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

$760
Expected Value
5.9×
Profit Multiple
78%
Odds of Profit

How the score is calculated

Profit Multiple →
Odds of Profit	1×	1.5×	2×	3×	5×	8×	12×	20×
100%	55	61	65	72	79	86	92	100
90%	50	56	60	66	74	81	87	95
75%	41	47	52	58	65	72	79	86
60%	33	39	43	50	57	64	70	78
50%	28	34	38	44	52	59	65	73
35%	19	25	30	36	43	50	57	64
20%	11	17	21	28	35	42	48	56
10%	6	12	16	22	30	37	43	51

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

What it cannot know

Grading outcomes are decided solely by the company you send to, not by this model. We cannot guarantee a result: condition is specific to your copy, and we have never seen it. Scores are projected from publicly available population and sales data, and the thresholds between the bands are our own judgement rather than an industry standard.

Grade vs. Raw

Sell it raw

100% chance

$129

Grade it, then sell

Blended average

$760

78%: you make money
11%: you break even
10%: you lose money

Grade population	# of graded	Est. sale price	Profit or loss
PSA 10 9%	404	$5,803	+$5,044
PSA 9 26%	1,128	$758	+$503
PSA 8 25%	1,098	$337	+$124
PSA 7 16%	693	$221	+$19
PSA 6 11%	494	$195	Break-Even
PSA 5 6%	271	$156	−$38
PSA 4 3%	109	$124	−$68
PSA 3 1%	46	$61	−$124
PSA 2 0%	14	$107	−$82
PSA 1 2%	65	$213	+$12

Grade vs. Raw

Estimated Cost

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