Pretend Comedian Pikachu SM-P Promos #407

Rarity: Unrecorded
Released: 2016
Total graded: 12,733

Check price on eBay Check price on TCGplayer

65/100

Good Bet

0254572

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

$557
Expected Value
3.3×
Profit Multiple
85%
Odds of Profit

How the score is calculated

Profit Multiple →
Odds of Profit	1×	1.5×	2×	3×	5×	8×	12×	20×
100%	55	61	65	72	79	86	92	100
90%	50	56	60	66	74	81	87	95
75%	41	47	52	58	65	72	79	86
60%	33	39	43	50	57	64	70	78
50%	28	34	38	44	52	59	65	73
35%	19	25	30	36	43	50	57	64
20%	11	17	21	28	35	42	48	56
10%	6	12	16	22	30	37	43	51

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

What it cannot know

Grading outcomes are decided solely by the company you send to, not by this model. We cannot guarantee a result: condition is specific to your copy, and we have never seen it. Scores are projected from publicly available population and sales data, and the thresholds between the bands are our own judgement rather than an industry standard.

Grade vs. Raw

Sell it raw

100% chance

$170

Grade it, then sell

Blended average

$557

85%: you make money
15%: you lose money

Grade population	# of graded	Est. sale price	Profit or loss
PSA 10 58%	7,415	$981	+$663
PSA 9 27%	3,383	$288	+$40
PSA 8 7%	875	$188	−$51
PSA 7 3%	354	$177	−$61
PSA 6 3%	338	$191	−$48
PSA 5 2%	207	$107	−$124
PSA 4 1%	93	$110	−$121
PSA 3 0%	35	$21	−$201
PSA 1 0%	11	$205	−$35

Grade vs. Raw

Estimated Cost