Charizard Sun & Moon Black Star Promo #SM158

Rarity: Promo
Released: 2016
Total graded: 4,043

Check price on eBay Check price on TCGplayer

71/100

Good Bet

0254572

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

$976
Expected Value
7.6×
Profit Multiple
74%
Odds of Profit

How the score is calculated

Profit Multiple →
Odds of Profit	1×	1.5×	2×	3×	5×	8×	12×	20×
100%	55	61	65	72	79	86	92	100
90%	50	56	60	66	74	81	87	95
75%	41	47	52	58	65	72	79	86
60%	33	39	43	50	57	64	70	78
50%	28	34	38	44	52	59	65	73
35%	19	25	30	36	43	50	57	64
20%	11	17	21	28	35	42	48	56
10%	6	12	16	22	30	37	43	51

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

What it cannot know

Grading outcomes are decided solely by the company you send to, not by this model. We cannot guarantee a result: condition is specific to your copy, and we have never seen it. Scores are projected from publicly available population and sales data, and the thresholds between the bands are our own judgement rather than an industry standard.

Grade vs. Raw

Sell it raw

100% chance

$128

Grade it, then sell

Blended average

$976

15%: you make money
60%: you break even
26%: you lose money

Grade population	# of graded	Est. sale price	Profit or loss
PSA 10 15%	596	$6,689	+$5,843
PSA 9 59%	2,398	$201	Break-Even
PSA 8 19%	785	$130	−$61
PSA 7 4%	169	$91	−$96
PSA 6 1%	59	$93	−$94
PSA 5 1%	23	$20	−$159

Grade vs. Raw

Estimated Cost

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