Birthday Pikachu WOTC Promo #24

Rarity: Common
Released: 1999
Total graded: 8,204

Check price on eBay Check price on TCGplayer

48/100

Good Bet

0254572

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

$620
Expected Value
2.4×
Profit Multiple
63%
Odds of Profit

How the score is calculated

Profit Multiple →
Odds of Profit	1×	1.5×	2×	3×	5×	8×	12×	20×
100%	55	61	65	72	79	86	92	100
90%	50	56	60	66	74	81	87	95
75%	41	47	52	58	65	72	79	86
60%	33	39	43	50	57	64	70	78
50%	28	34	38	44	52	59	65	73
35%	19	25	30	36	43	50	57	64
20%	11	17	21	28	35	42	48	56
10%	6	12	16	22	30	37	43	51

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

What it cannot know

Grading outcomes are decided solely by the company you send to, not by this model. We cannot guarantee a result: condition is specific to your copy, and we have never seen it. Scores are projected from publicly available population and sales data, and the thresholds between the bands are our own judgement rather than an industry standard.

Grade vs. Raw

Sell it raw

100% chance

$256

Grade it, then sell

Blended average

$620

63%: you make money
21%: you break even
16%: you lose money

Grade population	# of graded	Est. sale price	Profit or loss
PSA 10 2%	148	$15,500	+$13,644
PSA 9 25%	2,011	$778	+$394
PSA 8 36%	2,906	$423	+$75
PSA 7 21%	1,710	$339	Break-Even
PSA 6 10%	831	$278	−$56
PSA 5 3%	282	$210	−$117
PSA 4 1%	86	$223	−$106
PSA 3 0%	39	$183	−$142
PSA 2 0%	27	$295	−$41
PSA 1 0%	26	$415	+$67

Grade vs. Raw

Estimated Cost

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