Poncho-wearing Pikachu XY Promos #203

Rarity: Unrecorded
Released: 2013
Total graded: 9,402

Check price on eBay Check price on TCGplayer

69/100

Good Bet

0254572

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

$1,668
Expected Value
3.0×
Profit Multiple
95%
Odds of Profit

How the score is calculated

Profit Multiple →
Odds of Profit	1×	1.5×	2×	3×	5×	8×	12×	20×
100%	55	61	65	72	79	86	92	100
90%	50	56	60	66	74	81	87	95
75%	41	47	52	58	65	72	79	86
60%	33	39	43	50	57	64	70	78
50%	28	34	38	44	52	59	65	73
35%	19	25	30	36	43	50	57	64
20%	11	17	21	28	35	42	48	56
10%	6	12	16	22	30	37	43	51

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

What it cannot know

Grading outcomes are decided solely by the company you send to, not by this model. We cannot guarantee a result: condition is specific to your copy, and we have never seen it. Scores are projected from publicly available population and sales data, and the thresholds between the bands are our own judgement rather than an industry standard.

Grade vs. Raw

Sell it raw

100% chance

$561

Grade it, then sell

Blended average

$1,668

93%: you make money
6%: you break even
1%: you lose money

Grade population	# of graded	Est. sale price	Profit or loss
PSA 10 62%	5,865	$2,513	+$1,650
PSA 9 20%	1,856	$1,076	+$357
PSA 8 8%	760	$810	+$118
PSA 7 4%	354	$675	Break-Even
PSA 6 3%	264	$700	+$19
PSA 5 2%	166	$680	Break-Even
PSA 4 1%	67	$270	−$368
PSA 3 0%	39	$493	−$168
PSA 2 0%	13	$180	−$449
PSA 1 0%	8	$610	−$63

Grade vs. Raw

Estimated Cost

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