Mega Tokyo's Pikachu XY Promos #204

Rarity: Unrecorded
Released: 2013
Total graded: 561

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41/100

Thin Margin

0254572

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

$10,547
Expected Value
1.6×
Profit Multiple
61%
Odds of Profit

How the score is calculated

Profit Multiple →
Odds of Profit	1×	1.5×	2×	3×	5×	8×	12×	20×
100%	55	61	65	72	79	86	92	100
90%	50	56	60	66	74	81	87	95
75%	41	47	52	58	65	72	79	86
60%	33	39	43	50	57	64	70	78
50%	28	34	38	44	52	59	65	73
35%	19	25	30	36	43	50	57	64
20%	11	17	21	28	35	42	48	56
10%	6	12	16	22	30	37	43	51

Sell Raw
Thin Margin
Good Bet
Exceptional

What it cannot know

Grading outcomes are decided solely by the company you send to, not by this model. We cannot guarantee a result: condition is specific to your copy, and we have never seen it. Scores are projected from publicly available population and sales data, and the thresholds between the bands are our own judgement rather than an industry standard.

Grade vs. Raw

Sell it raw

100% chance

$6,528

Grade it, then sell

Blended average

$10,547

61%: you make money
33%: you lose money
5%: no sales data

Grade population	# of graded	Est. sale price	Profit or loss
PSA 10 61%	340	$16,400	+$8,182
PSA 9 17%	92	$2,677	−$4,169
PSA 8 9%	49	$2,999	−$3,878
PSA 7 4%	22	$5,600	−$1,537
PSA 6 4%	21	$3,700	−$3,247
PSA 5 3%	18	—	—
PSA 4 1%	7	—	—
PSA 3 1%	5	—	—

Grade vs. Raw

Estimated Cost